January, 2003

 

STIMULATING THE ECONOMY:  WHAT WORKS AND WHAT DOESN’T

As the debate heats up over President Bush’s new tax cut proposals, we must wade through torrents of flawed economic commentary and bash-the-rich rhetoric.  Decrying “tax breaks for the wealthy” is the standard demagoguery used by Democrats and other socialists to deflect more substantive arguments.  The Democrat’s case to the public rests upon portrayal of two false images, never born out by the facts: 1) that the majority of taxes are paid by the “little guy,” and 2) that tax breaks for the lower classes are of greater benefit to the poor and to economic recovery than tax breaks for rich. 

                Let’s consider the latest data on who pays what percentage of the income tax.  The Tax Foundation (www.taxfoundation.org) has constructed tables of crucial data analyzing what each class of tax payer pays as a percentage of what they earn.  Here are some comments from their website concerning this data.

                “In 1993, at the end of the ‘Decade of Greed,’ the top 1% were paying 28.7% of all taxes. They earned only 13.8% of all earned income. Oops! sounds like they are paying a bit more than their fair share, doesn't it?  What about the top 10%? They were paying 58.5% of the income taxes but earning only 39% of the income. The top 50%? Paying 95.2% of the taxes, earning 85% of the income. The bottom 50%? Earning only 15% of the income but paying just 4.8% of the income taxes.”

                Now for the tax year 2000: “The top-earning 25 percent of taxpayers earned more than two-thirds of the nation's income (67.3%) and paid more than five out of every six dollars collected by the federal income tax (84%) in 2000. There were 32 million tax returns in the top 25 percent, all with adjusted gross incomes (AGI) over $55,225. The top one percent of US taxpayers (annual income over $313,469) made 20.8 percent of the income earned in 2000 and paid 37.4 percent of the total federal individual income taxes collected that year.  This fraction of the tax burden paid by the top one percent - well over a third of the total - is up from 25.1 percent ten years earlier in tax year 1990. [Thus, the percentage of tax paid by the wealthy has been increasing rather than decreasing over time.]

                “At the other end of the income spectrum, the bottom 50 percent of the nation's taxpayers earned only 13.0 percent of all income in 2000, but they paid an even smaller fraction of the federal individual income taxes collected - 3.9 percent. The data come from Tax Foundation Special Report No. 118, titled, "Who Pays the Federal Individual Income Tax?" by economist David Hoffman.” [End of Tax Foundation quote.]

 

The Real Cause of our Current Declining Economy

Let’s review the real cause of the current economic malaise, which is threatening to become a full blown depression.  Without understanding the root cause, we cannot prescribe a solution.

                In simple terms, the US and world economies are suffering from years of excessive growth in money and credit, as central governments followed doggedly the Keynesian model of pumping liquidity into the markets in order to stimulate innovation and growth.  Has it worked?  Only superficially, and the consequences are finally hitting home.  To be sure, innovation has boomed, but this innovation has included a lot of unsound ideas as well, which would not have found funding in a slower, more discriminating economy.  Nearly anyone with any sort of new idea could find some funding in the 90’s.  Growth rates in stocks, especially high tech or internet companies, went astronomical and couldn’t be sustained when improper or premature investments began to show their colors.  Individual savings and conservative investments were stripped to jump on the stock bandwagon, leaving the economy with few reserves.  Individual and corporate debt skyrocketed, leaving no room for retrenchment in a downturn.

                Notice that in an honest economy, with a real commodity backed currency, growth is much slower, and therefore inherently more stable.  There is no money to loan unless someone makes a profit and puts that money into savings.  In an inflationary credit bubble, however, people’s judgment about risk gets skewed by the high volumes of money and credit available, and consequential illusions of permanent growth.  An inflationary credit system is inherently more unstable the larger it grows, and with growth comes increasing demands for more money and credit to keep the bubble inflated.  The irrational market days of the 90’s were particularly bad for people’s judgment, because the Fed made it appear as if growth would be permanent.  People became convinced that bear markets were forever abolished.  Remember, this was supposed to be a “new economy?”  Well, it wasn’t!  . 

 

Let’s analyze precisely why the bubble was not and could not be sustained.  A bubble is created by the artificial easing of credit and/or direct inflation of the currency via a variety of paperless mechanisms.  We had both, and still do, judging by the low interest rates and the Fed’s wide open window for bank lending.  With easy money, the marketplace no longer acts as an effective filter for bad investments.  Look at the credit card default rate, and yet even poor risk people are still offered multiple cards.  The Fed has made almost unlimited amounts of money available for loans, and has channeled that easy money to consumers via bank discount windows, federally subsidized mortgages, and credit card companies (not to mention billions in “off the books” journal entries for insider corporations and secret foreign assistance packages).  With such extensive credit availability, millions of marginal borrowers were lured into easy debt.  Now, here is the key:  that pool of potential borrowers has been satisfied.  Almost everyone capable of taking on more debt has done so.  The pool is very shallow now.  There are few potential corporate or individual vehicles for monetary expansion in the credit markets – even at almost giveaway interest rates!  This exhaustion of potential borrowers is what happened to Japan years ago, and they still haven’t recovered from the resulting downturn. 

                This is why traditional Keynesian economic stimuli don’t work anymore: they are all based on the expansion of money and credit, but there are a diminishing quantity of recipients of that credit who can make stable payments.  Lower interest rates?  There’s no draw there, with everyone already loaded up on debt.  More direct inflation?  This used to be a “free lunch” policy for the US as world trade absorbed our inflated dollars, sparing us from much price inflation at home, but no more.  The dollar has reached saturation levels internationally and is now falling against most major currencies (all of which are inflating too, which tells us something about relative rates of inflation).  Any inflation the Fed does now shows up as real inflation here at home.  The inflation may be effectively masked by the falling price levels characteristic of a deflationary economy – but even this works against recovery for a certain percentage of the market.  Those of us with declining incomes are unable to take advantage of the full effect of falling prices, since inflation counteracts and covers up this downward trend.  Even more dangerous, inflation threatens the bond market with collapse.   Lastly, inflation is a hidden tax, which distorts people’s view of the economy’s true underlying price levels. 

 

The Bush Tax Proposals

The President’s proposals emerged on January 7, 2003.  Here they are grouped according to type, followed by my analysis of each:

 

1) Personal Income Tax Changes:  Make all the income tax rate reductions from the 2001 tax law effective this year—and retroactive to January 1, 2003, instead of letting them phase in slowly over the next 4 years. Reduce the marriage penalty this year, instead of in 2009. Raise the child tax credit from $600 to $1,000 per child this year, instead of in 2010.

                Analysis:  These are all good changes, but will not have any immediate effect on the economy.  Individuals will have slightly more disposable income in the near future, which is good.  However, research indicates that relatively small increases in family income do not effectively change people’s investment or savings patterns – they only increase consumption.  Sustaining consumption levels in a declining economy will slow the fall but won’t turn it around.  What is needed is more resources for capital investments, which are made available through savings, not consumption.

 

2) Business Tax Changes: End the double taxation of dividends.  Raise from $25,000 to $75,000 the amount of equipment purchases that small businesses can write off as expenses.

                Analysis:  These proposals will have long term beneficial effects for business growth.  The former removes a problematic tax policy that distorts investment and corporate decisions.  A lot of tax games are played to avoid paying dividends since they are taxed twice.  Here’s a good synopsis from the Tax Foundation: “The most immediate effect of eliminating the double tax on dividends would be a redirection of investment into firms that pay dividends.  Many economists believe that investors who receive dividends put less pressure on companies to achieve short-term increases in share prices, and that this change will be a positive development in the effort to improve corporate governance.” 

                Also, according to the Foundation, dividends are not just for the rich: “According to the most recent IRS data, 34.1 million tax returns contained some dividend income in 2000. This represents 26.4 percent of total tax returns. Dividend income in 2000 totaled $147.0 billion, or 2.3 percent of total income reported by all taxpayers in that year.  Despite widespread belief to the contrary, dividend income was earned by taxpayers across the income spectrum. In fact, of all taxpayers that claimed some dividend income in 2000, nearly half (45.8 percent) earned less than $50,000 in adjusted gross income (which includes dividends).  Moreover, 63.8 percent of those taxpayers claiming dividends earned less than $50,000 in just wages and salaries.”

                Increasing the ability of small businesses to deduct large ticket expenses would potentially give a healthy boost if we were in a rising economy.  In this deflating economy, it is doubtful that many small businesses have sufficient cash flow to make large capital purchases.  Most are loaded up to the maximum with heavy indebtedness already.

                Bush should have removed all taxes on capital gains for a quick realignment of malinvestments in the markets.  Taxing capital gains really distorts capital markets and slows down the realignment of investments to more productive projects.  The fear of subjecting previously earned gains to taxation keeps many investors frozen in now stagnant companies.  At the least, losses in capital gains ought to be able to directly offset other income immediately.  Currently, all gains are immediately taxable in full, but losses have to be spread over many years.

                On a related note, all inheritance taxes should be removed, permanently.  Heavy taxation of assets that have already been taxed as they were accumulated is a great injustice.  Most large estates have to be sold just to pay the taxes, which often destroys their economic viability – especially in the case of family farms.  

 

3)  Welfare giveaways: Extend unemployment benefits to 850,000 people whose benefits expired on December 28th and make them retroactive to the beginning of December.  Allow more than 2.5 million jobless Americans to receive 13 weeks of unemployment compensation not covered by employer contributions.  Extend unemployment benefits for 1.6 million people from March to June 1. 

                Analysis:  Shoving money into people’s pockets is direct stimulus to individuals, and one of the least effective ways of turning around an economy.  It prolongs consumer spending, but in today’s deflating bubble it will create no net new jobs, but will only slow down the rate of job loss.  This is redistribution of income at its worst, being done at taxpayers’ expense.  It is politically popular with the benefit-corrupted majority, but is a violation of the productive class’s right to own and control their hard-earned property.  If government creates the money rather than taking it from taxes, the effect is mildly inflationary (which benefits only the first recipients of new money--later users of money pay higher prices).

 

4)  Employment Gimmicks:  Create Personal Re-employment Accounts, providing unemployed workers with up to $3,000 to use for job training, child care, transportation, moving costs, or other expenses associated with finding a new job.  A person who gets a job within 13 weeks would keep the leftover funds as a re-employment bonus.

                Analysis:  This proposal superficially provides various incentives to go out and get a job quickly.  The trouble is, it adds a significant level of complexity to reemployment, as well as more layers of state and federal bureaucracy to manage the program.  Additionally, it distorts the marketplace by inducing people to go get any job, just to qualify to receive the bonus.  I see a lot of room for fraud and wasteful bureaucracy here.  

 

The Really Big Solution

The economy is in trouble because it is stagnant and hog tied with debt.  A giant negative multiplier is in effect, destroying more jobs than the government can stimulate by direct handouts, so the downward cycle continues.   With each job loss there is less money spent in the economy, and other businesses on the margins of profitability fail due to declining activity.  There is still much innovation ready to be developed, but potential profit margins are so small in a deflationary scenario that few can qualify for more borrowing.  Few have excess capital on their own to finance new business endeavors.  Under these circumstances the single largest impediment to new business and new job formation becomes the HIGH COST OF HIRING EMPLOYEES.  It isn’t only the cost of the employee’s wages and benefits, but the whole new level of regulations and accounting requirements that must be dealt with in even hiring one employee.   When hiring a first employee presents a huge obstacle, proportional to the benefit, economic growth is stunted constantly.   There are millions of self-employed people who choose to work alone, without any employees, merely because this barrier to hiring is so high.

                It is my thesis that the flawed practice of government attempting to protect employees from market forces of competition, by increased mandates on employers, is the single most significant barrier to new job formation – and has been for many years.  In an inflating bubble economy, small businessmen simply bite the bullet and pay for huge employee costs, and pass those costs on to their consumers or clients.  This is no longer as easy to do as profit margins fall.  Even large corporations grew fat and inefficient during the bubble years.  It will be years before they can pare down costs sufficient to afford new employees. 

                In a deflationary scenario, we need to stimulate massive small time hiring at the micro level of the economy.   The plethora of small jobs thereby created can potentially absorb millions of the unemployed from large corporations (albeit at lower salaries) and begin the process of filling in the legitimate holes in the economy  (business opportunities left unfulfilled) due to the excesses of the past--which tend to favor big corporations. 

 

Here’s what I propose:   Immediately, do away with all government mandated tax and regulatory restrictions on the hiring and firing of employees.  This means, first, no more requirements for the withholding of income taxes and social security taxes by the employer (each employee would do their own just like the self-employed).  Yes, it would be better to do away with the income tax and social security all together, but at least making each person experience paying the full price for those taxes is a first step in making them still more unpopular.  Second, eliminate the requirement for the employer to pay workman’s compensation; workers can pay for it themselves if they want it.  Third, do away with the minimum wage, which only serves to marginalize those workers whose value falls below the arbitrary wage-rate threshold.  Forget about the much heralded necessity that every person have a  living wage.”  Almost a third of the labor market share some living facilities with others and don’t need a full living wage.  Fourth, eliminate all paperwork and reporting to the government, currently huge barriers to the creation of new jobs.  Employment contracts between private parties should be just that – private.  Lastly, strike down all anti-discrimination laws and forced collective bargaining laws.  Allow private employers to hire or fire at will, bounded only by their own contractual agreements.   

                Think how many self-employed people would suddenly feel free to hire one or two assistants.  Think how easy it would be to create a start-up company and join forces with others if entrepreneurs didn’t have to deal with complex accounting structures.  Think how many millions would be hired as domestic workers – a market almost non-existent in the US today because of the high costs of reporting and withholding.  Lifting all these weighty and cumbersome regulations would have the effect of a surge of oxygen on our stagnant economy, opening up new venues for productivity and new opportunities for growth. 

                I admit this proposal is politically improbable now, but as the recession deepens people will begin to see that a truly free labor market offering more jobs at lower wages is better and has more potential upside than a protected labor market with few new jobs at all.  Meanwhile, an interim political solution may be to get Congress to pass an exemption from all withholding and regulations for companies with less than 50 employees, or even 10 employees – whatever can be had.  That would provide a foothold in the market to show just how vibrant this new sector would be.

 

STRANGE PROSECUTION OF HUGHES AND BOEING    

The State Department has filed a 32-page document with a federal administrative judge charging Hughes Electronics and Boeing Satellite Systems with illegally transferring sensitive military technology to the Chinese.  The notorious Loral Corporation was also part of the investigation but was not charged after it agreed to cooperate with the State Department and pay millions of dollars in fines.  The two companies are being punished for having the audacity to challenge the government’s 123 count indictment. 

 

It is treasonous, but there’s more to the story than what the Washington Post revealed this week.  What the Post didn’t say was that Hughes Aircraft was encouraged to open its plant to the Red Chinese clear back in the late 80’s on orders from former President George Bush.  Chinese generals and scientists were given free access to the most sensitive areas at Hughes – areas that required top secret clearances for US employees and engineers.  Hughes employees were so upset at this obvious betrayal of national security that they threatened a walkout.  Rather than confront its employees, Hughes decided to cancel all work on Saturdays and give the Chinese full access on that day, so that irate employees would not witness the continuing sellout. 

 

Both Hughes and Boeing know that they have been granted special “look the other way” exemptions by the current Bush administration Commerce Department that oversees all technology transfers.   Savvy observers in Washington also know that the State Department is the most pro-Chinese element of the Federal government, regardless of which party is in charge.  Why would State suddenly jump on Hughes and Boeing when these companies are part and parcel of the US government’s plan to facilitate Chinese and Russian improvements in military technology?  

 

Frankly, I’m not sure this indictment is for real.  It may well be a ruse to allow the State Department to build up a few anti-Communist points to offset evidence of decades of pro-Communist support.  The Justice Department may well be preparing to undermine the indictment in some plea bargain.  If the case goes to trial, Hughes may be able to produce Commerce documents giving it an exemption.  If nothing else, Hughes and Boeing may settle as Loral did.  All these companies know they will get additional US export-import loans and federal contracts to more than make up for any fines they agree to pay as part of a settlement. 

 

One thing I am sure of: the aid and trade to China won’t stop.   Nothing is as it seems in government circles these days, especially when it comes to the illusion of defending US interests. 

 

ASHCROFT AND BUSH STILL ADAMANT ABOUT DENIAL OF HABEAS CORPUS

The Bush administration continues to petition Judge Michael Mukasey  (Federal District Court in Manhattan), to overturn his decision to allow citizen Jose Padilla access to an attorney--even though he has been held in a Navy brig in Charleston, S.C., without being charged, for months. .Padilla, designated an “enemy combatant” has been undergoing months of daily interrogations by military and justice department officials without the minimal constitutional recognition of his civil rights. 

                Judge Mukasey is no friend of the constitution even though he ruled that Mr. Padilla could consult with lawyers.  Government appointed attorneys can screw up anyone’s case.  More importantly, the judge affirmed the President’s power to detain enemy combatants and said the government needed to make only a “minimal showing to justify such actions” --without stipulating what those actions might be.  The government goes to judges they own to ensure a favorable ruling.  In turn, these controlled judges give token or partial rulings in favor of the Constitution to preserve the facade of judicial integrity and independence.  Then they often allow their token opposition rulings to be overturned later while the public isn’t watching.  Sometimes, as in this case, they simply don’t sanction the government for failing to abide by the ruling.  That’s how judge Royce Lamberth keeps stringing Judicial Watch along, appearing to be sympathetic to their attacks on Bush administration cover-ups.  Neat trick.

 

MORE COVER-UPS FOR ENRON BANKERS

J.P. Morgan Chase & Co officers were brought before a grand jury in New York City to testify about their dealings with the bankrupt Enron Corporation.   However, according to sources talking to the NY Times, it is “unlikely the No. 2 US banking company will face criminal charges.”  Why doesn’t that surprise me? 

First, observe who the District Attorney handling the jury is: establishment insider attorney Robert Morgenthau, who has been investigating the Morgan role in Enron's collapse since last year.  Second, Morgan Chase is no bit player in the scheme to protect insider connected corporations from violations of tax and accounting rules ordinary companies and individuals are required to obey.  J.P. Morgan and its larger clone Citibank were up to their necks in providing the financial arrangements and safe havens that allowed Enron to transfer millions in profits to illegal offshore tax accounts of its partners.   Both banking houses are as guilty as Enron of violating reporting requirements and money laundering.  Bringing them before the Grand Jury was necessary to give the appearance of a vigorous investigation.  But all the big players will get a pass in the end.  

 

ECONOMY—THE CASCADING EFFECT OF INCREASING EVICTIONS AND FORECLOSURES

Apartment dweller evictions nationwide are increasing at an exponential rate.  From 1998 to 1999 evictions rose only 5%.  They rose 15% in 2000 and 16% in 2001.  The figures for 2002 are projected to increase by a whopping 20% and the rate of increase is still increasing each year.  Foreclosures are following a similar rate of increase, as are personal bankruptcies.  Renters delinquent for more than three months’ rent almost always declare bankruptcy rather than make good on their debts.   Clearly, bankruptcy laws are still too lenient.   Increasing rates of default in these crucial areas of the economy are solid evidence that we haven’t seen the bottom yet.  Talk of a recovery is very premature.   

 

NESARA PROPOSAL NOT A SOUND SOLUTION

A lot of conservatives have been intrigued by the promises of fiscal reform touted by NESARA, the National Economic Stabilization and Recovery Act.  See www.nesara.com for an overview of this proposed legislation.  In essence, the website promotes the notion that our fiscal problems can be solved by taking control of the money supply away from the private Federal Reserve and giving it back to Congress where it belongs.   Constitutional conservatives are especially vulnerable to this trap, thinking that the power given to Congress to “regulate the value of money” is equivalent to regulating the supply of money and credit. In fact, the Constitution grants no such powers.  By “regulate the value of thereof (money),” the founders were only referring to the prerogative of Congress to fix the value relationship between gold and silver coinage.  They wanted no fiat money powers in the US Constitution, being all too aware of the financial disaster caused by the issuance of worthless revolutionary script (Continentals).  

 

NESARA thinkers understand that Congress can be tempted to print too much money, so they propose the creation of a special index that is linked to a law mandating that the money supply be kept within a certain growth range.  Good theory, but impractical without an understanding of the current state of addiction of all facets of our economy to false injections of money and credit.  Congress simply would never have the guts to face the uproar that would follow a serious restriction of the money supply.   

It is a step in the right direction to eliminate the Federal Reserve, but the promoters of NESARA are woefully naïve about what effects the new law would have.  They also have a seriously misplaced trust in the political will of elected representatives to take the heat in a sudden shift to a policy of fiscal restraint.  Real restraint would be very painful to our bubble economy.  It is my estimate that over a third of the current economy is driven by money and credit creation that would not exist in a true free market.  NESARA claims to eliminate inflation, but it does no such thing.  True, inflation would be restrained by law, but as long as a government has the power to create any money at all that is not backed 100% by an exchangeable commodity, the resulting creation of fiat currency is always inflationary and robs existing holders of currency of some of their money’s value—especially those who receive some of the new money long after prices have adjusted upward.   Even in a deflationary depression, fiat money takes away a portion of those downward prices, so that people are robbed of a portion of the benefits of deflation (a process totally invisible but real). 

There is an ongoing internet hoax circulating around the Internet concerning NESARA—and I’m not referring to the excessively optimistic claims of NESARA (that it would create immediate world peace, world freedom, and world prosperity).  The real hoax is an attempt to claim that NESARA has secretly been passed by Congress and that there is a conspiracy to keep the public from knowing about it.  There are plenty of real conspiracies about without muddying the waters with disinformation.  The following two statements have been widely propagated by email:

 

“1) NESARA was passed secretly by U.S. Congress on March 9, 2000 and signed into law by President Bill Clinton on October 10, 2000. 

2) NESARA was ordered by 1993 U.S. Supreme Court and World Court rulings.”

 

Both of these statements are patently false and without any substance whatever.  They are certainly not supported by the material on the official NESARA website, which states that as of January 20, 2003, “The bill has not been enacted into law, has not been introduced into Congress, and has not yet been assigned a tracking number.”  In other words, it hasn’t even got a sponsor, and is going nowhere until it does.   Of course, even if this proposal finds its way onto the Congressional floor, the moderate changes proposed by NESARA have no chance of succeeding because Congress has promised way too much with way too little income to even deal with this change.  Only fiat money and credit creation will keep this bloated ship afloat, and even that won’t last much longer.  One thing is for sure.  Once corrupted by benefits, the voting majority will never voluntarily relinquish the democratic power to steal other’s hard-earned money.  There is no democratic solution to the fiscal problems of our overindulgent and soft society.    

 

BUSH STATE OF THE UNION: A CRITICAL RESPONSE FROM THE RIGHT

The American people were denied any meaningful rebuttal to the President’s State of the Union address to Congress.  Predictably, the Republicans responded with nothing but enthusiasm and blind support for Bush’s statements.  The Democratic response was a pathetic combination of maudlin appeals to minorities, me-too yesmanship on Iraq, and “we can offer you more” assertions regarding Bush’s rather irresponsible and undisciplined spending proposals.  In this week’s World Affairs Brief, I will lay out for my readers a comprehensive point by point rebuttal of Bush’s address from a constitutional conservative point of view.

 

I am particularly disturbed by the increasing lack of honor and dignity of Congress in allowing itself, through mindless pomp and circumstance, to be turned into a manipulating propaganda machine on behalf of a sitting president.  State of the Union speeches are fraudulent from start to finish.  They are never the original work of modern script-reading Presidents (who are chosen more for their slavish loyalty to the control system than for their abilities).  Hack ghost writing committees mix the dry substance of political proposals with melodramatic and grandiloquent phrases (borrowed from far superior writers like Winston Churchill, who, despite being a deceptive, manipulating globalist, did have real talent) to induce applause and standing ovations at regular intervals.

 

When a person makes verbal appeals to high minded and lofty principles, invoking the name of God for support, conscience demands that hypocrisy and ulterior motives be absent.  When grand eloquence is used to cover for grand lies, the judgments of God are not far behind.  We have had three artful dodger presidents in a row fronting for globalist aims, while pretending to be God-fearing protectors of the Constitution.  It is time for conservatives to stop viewing their Republican leaders with rose colored glasses and start critically analyzing the half truths and multi-faceted deceptions that are being foisted upon them to undermine all we hold dear.  The State of the Union address is the epitome of manipulation and deception, being specifically contrived for those purposes alone, and must be virtually picked apart line by line to expose all its dangerous fallacies.  Here I will examine Bush’s latest address point by point, including my analysis and rebuttals in [brackets].  Readers will soon get a clear perception of the extent and depth of deception and double-speak inherent in this speech, and indeed, in every public address by our establishment-controlled President.

 

“You and I serve our country in a time of great consequence….we will answer every danger and every enemy that threatens the American people. [This is pure bravado, meant only to elicit applause and garner the emotional, unthinking support of the people.  No leader can guarantee an answer to every danger to a nation, but the real deception here lies in the true intent of Bush to take his nation into a war that will eventually result in a huge retaliatory attack on America.]

 

“In all these days of promise and days of reckoning [strange mix of conflicting adjectives], we can be confident.  In a whirlwind of change, and hope, and peril, our faith is sure [it is particularly offensive to God when politicians invoke allusions to faith or God to elicit support for evil causes], our resolve is firm, and our union is strong. [Bush’s reference to a strong union is anachronistic.  The feds have long since removed any potential for state rebellion or official disunity.]

 

“This country has many challenges. We will not deny, we will not ignore, we will not pass along our problems to other Congresses, other presidents, and other generations. [This statement is patently untrue and knowingly deceptive.  Every president who commits this country to billions in deficits, as Bush will do in this speech, knowingly passes on the costs to future generations.  In fact, all of his “solutions,” whether about Social Security, Medicare, education, foreign aid, or welfare, are doomed to failure, no matter what their version. The problem keeps getting worse with each administration, whether Republican or Democrat.]  We will confront them with focus, and clarity, and courage. [Time will prove him deadly wrong.]

 

“During the last two years, we have seen what can be accomplished when we work together. To lift the standards of our public schools, we achieved historic education reform which must now be carried out in every school, and every classroom, so that every child in America can read, and learn, and succeed in life. [I beg to differ.  Bush has merely achieved historic and unconstitutional federal intervention in schools--not reform.  Reform occurs when real change for the better takes place, and no change is ever going to occur as long as there exists a federal and state government monopoly of power over control and funding in schools.  Only the complete separation of school and state will solve this downward spiral.  For example, the key element of all successful education is discipline—but no reform is even contemplated in this area because students don’t want it, parents complain, and all official centers of power (teacher’s union, administrators, school districts, and academics) subscribe to a flawed ideology of permissiveness in human relations.  It is little wonder that a whole plethora of unfortunate legal precedents has been created to make sure than no teacher or administrator can take exception to the horrible status quo. While public schools always produce a minority of success stories (mostly, in spite of the system) the overall result for the majority of students continues to decline precipitously.]

 

“To protect our country [which wasn’t the real purpose], we reorganized our government and created the Department of Homeland Security which is mobilizing against the threats of a new era.  [In fact, it is preparing to mobilize against the inevitable domestic backlash from constitutional conservatives and civil libertarians to this new form of federal tyranny.]  To bring our economy out of recession, we delivered the largest tax relief in a generation. [This obviously didn’t achieve Bush’s stated purpose, though I believe it is helpful.]  To insist on integrity in American business, we passed tough reforms, and we are holding corporate criminals to account. [This is an outright falsehood.  No one of any significance has been prosecuted.  All the big fish, such as Enron chief Ken Lay and other executives at Global Crossing and WorldCom, have been protected from meaningful prosecution — because they are among the insiders to a secret government-corporation partnership for global governance.]

 

“Some might call this a good record. I call it a good start [a pack of lies and half truths would be more accurate]. … We must have an economy that grows fast enough to employ every man and woman who seeks a job. [Actually, labor is always in short supply even during a depression, though this fact is masked by the artificial surplus of labor created by the forced maintenance of abnormally high wages.  Thus the problem is more accurately a matter of not enough high paying jobs, because the economy is contracting from an ongoing cycle of government-induced excess.  If wages were allowed to contract along with the economy, the labor surplus would quickly disappear, and recovery would be much faster.]

 

“After recession, terrorist attacks, corporate scandals, and stock market declines, our economy is recovering [not true according to most government data] – yet it is not growing fast enough, or strongly enough. With unemployment rising [a contradiction of his statement on recovery], our Nation needs more small businesses to open, more companies to invest and expand, more employers to put up the sign that says, Help Wanted.  [As I pointed out in a recent brief, the single biggest inhibition to hiring new people is the government-imposed costs of employment — taxes, Social Security, withholding, insurance, unemployment compensation.  These costs are particularly restrictive to individual entrepreneurs looking to expand their operations and hire employees.  There are millions who could hire, but won’t do so due to the high cost of regulation.  The Bush plan does nothing here.]

 

Jobs are created when the economy grows [circular reasoning]; the economy grows when Americans have more money to spend and invest [this is a Keynesian idea.  In truth, the economy grows when people make more than they consume, in real terms.  Inflation of the money supply by government provides the illusion that people have more money to spend and invest, but that illusion is always temporary and is detrimental to long-term economic growth]; and the best, fairest way to make sure Americans have that money is not to tax it away in the first place [true—but Bush wants it both ways: cut taxes and raise spending on a massive scale.  So, it’s a lie that he doesn’t intend to pass our problems down to the next generation].

 

“This tax relief is for everyone who pays income taxes and it will help our economy immediately. [It will not in itself lead to economic recovery, but will merely slow the continued contraction. However, this is good, because the longer a severe collapse is avoided, the more time the economy has to adjust to reality.] If this tax relief is good for Americans three, or five, or seven years from now, it is even better for Americans today [true enough].

 

“We also strengthen the economy by treating investors equally in our tax laws.  [It’s not just investors that should be treated fairly, but all taxpayers.  It is grossly unjust that the top 50% of taxpayer pay over 90% of all taxes.] It is fair to tax a company's profits. It is not fair to again tax the shareholder on the same profits [absolutely true].

 

“Lower taxes and greater investment will help this economy expand [true]. More jobs means more taxpayers and higher revenues to our government.  [This is a socialist view and should never be a legitimate goal of government.  The proper goal of government taxation should be to extract from the private economy the least amount possible to satisfy its mandate to defend fundamental rights.]  The best way to address the deficit and move toward a balanced budget is to encourage economic growth and to show some spending discipline in Washington, D.C. [Spending discipline? Is this guy even listening to what he says?  Watch him propose billions in wasteful and unconstitutional spending in the next sentences.]  We must work together to fund only our most important priorities. I will send you a budget that increases discretionary spending by four percent next year – about as much as the average family’s income is expected to grow. [This proposal is ludicrous on three counts:  1) Talk of increasing spending is reckless on its face when huge deficits are projected, even without accounting for the continued raiding of the SS trust fund and the war in Iraq.  2) His spending increase will be at least 10 percent higher than projected 3) Families are struggling now just to stay even; a 4 percent increase in income across the board seems overly optimistic.] And that is a good benchmark for us: Federal spending should not rise any faster than the paychecks of American families. [There is no principled relationship with government authorization to spend and personal income.  People becoming more wealthy is no justification for government to start taxing and spending more money. The two are not related in law or moral principle.] 

 

“A growing economy, and a focus on essential priorities, will also be crucial to the future of Social Security.  [Yes, Bush wants economic growth to help postpone the inevitable death of the SS Ponzi scheme.  The SS system pays out too much to current beneficiaries and will at some point go bankrupt to the detriment of future beneficiaries.  Even so, no US president has had the courage to stop robbing the trust fund each year of $300+ billion to help cover the deficit, contributing even more to its insolvency..] As we continue to work together to keep Social Security sound and reliable [Whoooaaa there, Cowboy.  How about ‘fessing up to your recent proposal to offer SS benefits to Mexicans living in Mexico, who were once illegal aliens in America?], we must offer younger workers a chance to invest in retirement accounts that they will control and they will own.

 

“Our second goal is high quality, affordable health care for all Americans. [Affordable health care in America is a contradiction of terms.  The only affordable health care today is outside the establishment system, in alternative medicine—the only real free (though highly suppressed) market in medicine.   Prices have risen out of sight in establishment medicine primarily because of several factors: 1) the government monopoly over licensure of medical schools, hospitals and practitioners; 2) government and drug company control over prescription drugs; 3) excessive use of insurance rather than direct payment by recipients (due to tax policy inducements for companies to provide health insurance); and 4) direct government funding of medical welfare through our own version of socialized medicine, Medicare.  These last two are significant because when people don’t have to pay directly for medical care, there is little resistance to price increases and little incentive to watch lifestyle and nutrition factors that lead to bad health.]

 

The American system of medicine is a model of skill and innovation with a pace of discovery that is adding good years to our lives. [This is only partly true.  A good portion of the longevity achieved by Americans is being enjoyed by the full third of Americans who are turning to better nutrition, vitamins, minerals, herbs and alternative therapies to achieve better health.  Those who stay within the established system become ever more dependent upon drug therapies which all have deleterious side effects.]  Yet for many people, medical care costs too much [it costs too much for everybody!] and many have no coverage at all [there should be – but is not – a clear distinction made between those who want medical coverage but can’t afford it, and those who choose not to purchase establishment medical coverage but to rely on nutrition and alternative therapies to address the majority of their health issues]. These problems will not be solved with a nationalized health care system that dictates coverage and rations care [true, but what Bush is proposing will result in the same type of control, while avoiding the term “nationalized care]. Instead, we must work toward a system in which all Americans have a good insurance policy [this is very deceptive.  Insurance companies are where the control occurs.  They almost always refuse to pay for anything outside the establishment system — even when its cheaper], choose their own doctors [he isn’t including alternative practitioners here], and seniors and low-income Americans receive the help they need [more welfare socialism, and more spending — in the billions].

 

“Health care reform must begin with Medicare, because Medicare is the binding commitment of a caring society. [Yes, Medicare is binding, but it is morally wrong!  It is the bondage commitment for a society becoming ever more socialist.  In contrast, the hallmark of a caring, free society is voluntary charity hospitals.] We must renew that commitment by giving seniors access to the preventive medicine and new drugs that are transforming health care in America. [Again, when he says “renew that commitment,” he’s talking about that binding commitment to transfer wealth from one person to another, without choice and under the penalty of loss of life and property if you refuse.  How charitable does that sound?  Like all welfare schemes, it is unconstitutional as well.]

 

“Seniors happy with the current Medicare system should be able to keep their coverage just the way it is. [This is simply a political sop to quell any potential discontent from Seniors too fearful of changing proposals.  Seniors have become the single biggest welfare corrupted voting block.  The Bush speech writers wanted to make sure there wouldn’t be any backlash here.] And just like you, the members of Congress, members of your staffs, and other federal employees, all seniors should have the choice of a health care plan that provides prescription drugs. [Interesting comment.  If the public knew what kind of perks Congressmen have in terms of cradle to grave pensions and healthcare — without having to pay for SS — they would be outraged in comparison.]  My budget will commit an additional $400 billion over the next decade to reform and strengthen Medicare.  [This amount is grossly understated, as are all socialist foot-in-the-door programs.  Eventually everyone will demand subsidized drug prices and the cost to taxpayers will go up to astronomical proportions.]

 

“No one has ever been healed by a frivolous lawsuit and I urge the Congress to pass medical liability reform. [The problem isn’t frivolous lawsuits, which are very few.  Most medical lawsuits are based on real damage to people done by doctors making mistakes or by the damaging side effects of drugs.  Just as Bush has been pushing for immunity for vaccine manufacturers, he wants limited immunity for the establishment medical community as well.  I do not favor giving any sector blanket immunity from liability, though there ought to be limitations on obscenely high damage awards.  The way juries are selected now, only the most manipulable persons are chosen to pass judgment on a case.  The judicial system has written its own (unconstitutional) rules about jury selection, and has given judges too much power to control what juries may decide.]

 

“Our third goal is to promote energy independence for our country, while dramatically improving the environment.  I have sent you Clear Skies legislation that mandates a 70 percent cut in air pollution from power plants over the next 15 years. [I’m skeptical.  Power plants are already very clean and represent a very small fraction of air pollution.  I think he’s driving at pacifying the global warning crowd by including carbon dioxide in this list of “pollutants”.]

 

I have sent you a Healthy Forests Initiative, to help prevent the catastrophic fires that devastate communities, kill wildlife, and burn away millions of acres of treasured forest. [If he is talking about emphasizing good logging practices, I’m all for it.  Forests are meant to be harvested and renewed over time.  But I think he is hiding something.  His forest service bureaucrats were responsible for much of the damage caused by fires last year, because of their refusals to allow private contractors to help put out fires free of charge.  Now, bureaucrats in the Department of the Interior are still refusing to allow logging companies to log burned out forest areas—a practice that has added insult to injury in the devastation wrought upon the land.  The standing, limbless trees are simply left to rot.  The radical environmental movement still controls most of these bureaucratic positions in government, and Bush has used none of his executive authority to cause these departments to change their policies.]

 

“Tonight I am proposing 1.2 billion dollars in research funding so that America can lead the world in developing clean, hydrogen-powered automobiles. [Bush has no business throwing another billion of taxpayer funding at any kind of research.  Tax money should never be used to give an advantage to one avenue of research over others competing in the same area of the free market.   Besides the unfair monopoly over funding that is given, such federal grants also stifle private investment (why take the risk when government will fund it?).  Meanwhile, in waiting for government, innovators and private investors lose control over the process].

 

“For so many in our country – the homeless, the fatherless, the addicted – the need is great. Yet there is power, wonder-working power, in the goodness and idealism and faith of the American people. [I tire of Bush continually confusing “the power of goodness, idealism and faith” with government coercive taxation to fund more welfare schemes.  This is not charity.  This is confiscation at the point of a gun.]

 

“Americans are doing the work of compassion every day visiting prisoners, providing shelter to battered women, bringing companionship to lonely seniors. These good works deserve our praise; they deserve our personal support; and, when appropriate, they deserve the assistance of our government. [I’ve never seen an instant when Bush didn’t think it appropriate to insert government into the ever more controlling equation.] I propose a $450 million initiative to bring mentors to more than a million disadvantaged junior high students and children of prisoners. [I can’t think of a more inappropriate and unconstitutional venue for government (which has a self-declared mandate to push non-discrimination in hiring) than to provide bureaucratically selected and trained “mentors” for disadvantaged children.  You all know where this will lead.] 

 

“Another cause of hopelessness is addiction to drugs.… Too many Americans in search of treatment cannot get it. So tonight I propose a new $600 million program to help an additional 300,000 Americans receive treatment over the next three years. [So we spend billions on a fruitless effort to stop drug trafficking, even though the government is deeply involved in the trade, and now the taxpayer is required to fund treatment?  Again, this program both fails to solve the problem, and transfers billions of taxpayer dollars to the purveyors of false solutions.]

 

“The qualities of courage and compassion that we strive for in America also determine our conduct abroad.  [Totally false and highly selective.  The Bush foreign policy has nothing to do with courage or compassion.  Where is the Bush compassion for the white owners of Zimbabwe farms whose farms have been confiscated? and for the millions who are starving in Africa because of the globalists’ selective refusal to eliminate protected tyrants like Mugabe?  There’s no Bush movement to invade Zimbabwe, or to even respond to the injustices being carried out in that part of the world.]

 

“The American flag stands for more than our power and our interests.  [The flag doesn’t stand for our power and interests, but rather for the cause of liberty of the original 13 colonies.]  Our Founders dedicated this country to the cause of human dignity, the rights of every person, and the possibilities of every life. [This is a devious interpretation heading his listeners toward embracing a policy of globalist intervention — which the founders soundly rejected.]  This conviction leads us into the world to help the afflicted, and defend the peace, and confound the designs of evil men. [Yes, as individuals, but certainly not on a national scale as global cop, harnessing others’ wealth to overthrow governments not a direct threat to American liberty.]   In Afghanistan, we helped to liberate an oppressed people [Bush fails to mention he gave that same oppressive Taliban regime millions in aid the year before], and we will continue helping them secure their country, rebuild their society, and educate all their children – boys and girls. [By what stretch of the Constitution is the American citizen obligated to educate all the poor in the world?]

 

“In the Middle East, we will continue to seek peace between a secure Israel and a democratic Palestine. [Palestine is not democratic and yet the Bush administration keeps protecting terror chief Yasser Arafat.  In reality, Bush cares nothing about whether Palestine is democratic; the Bush agenda is concerned only with international control of Israel and Jerusalem.] Across the earth, America is feeding the hungry; more than 60 percent of international food aid comes as a gift from the people of the United States. [No, not from the US people, but from the US government — and that aid often serves not to feed the needy but to preserve tyranny. Such is the case in North Korea, where the food aid is used as lever to exact compliance from the populace.]

 

“There are whole countries in Africa where more than one-third of the adult population carries the [AIDS] infection. More than four million require immediate drug treatment. Yet across that continent, only 50,000 are receiving the medicine they need… Anti-retroviral drugs can extend life for many years.  And the cost of those drugs has dropped from $12,000 a year to under $300 a year which places a tremendous possibility within our grasp. [There is very little evidence to support this optimism.  There is no drug cure for AIDS.  Neither can AIDS be reliably attributed to a single virus or cause.  It is actually a group of chronic immunally destructive diseases related to extreme drug use, permanently debilitating reactions to overuse of antibiotics and experimental AIDS drugs, plus unsanitary and promiscuous sexual encounters.]

 

“Ladies and gentlemen, seldom has history offered a greater opportunity to do so much for so many. [This is a borrowing from Churchill’s famous words concerning the British pilots who defended London against Hitler’s bombers (which Churchill worked long and hard to provoke into bombing London).] I ask the Congress to commit $15 billion over the next five years, including nearly $10 billion in new money, to turn the tide against AIDS in the most afflicted nations of Africa and the Caribbean. [This is another potentially bottomless pit into which the taxpayer will be expected to throw money.  Once such a program is started, no politician will have the courage to stop it.  The proposal looks to me like a public bailout of the drug companies which profit from the various experimental AIDS drugs, which often cause the very symptoms labeled as AIDS, and of the international clique that controls the AIDS campaign.  This clique, heading by corrupt Dr. Robert Gallo, has done its utmost to suppress major dissenters who have dramatic evidence challenging the prime thesis of the cause of AIDS and the role of these new experimental drugs.  See the following website for the dissenters’ view on the war on AIDS:  http://www.aliveandwell.org/.]

 

“And this Nation is leading the world in confronting and defeating the man-made evil of international terrorism. [Untrue.  The US has selectively aided and traded with terrorist for decades (PLO, IRA, Islamic Jihad, etc.) and has aided and abetted virtually every nation that sponsors terrorism — particularly Russia and China.]  The war goes on, and we are winning. [Again, untrue.  We are not winning, because there is no intention to win — only to keep terrorism ever before us in order to justify increasing restrictions on liberty.   Terrorism is almost always controlled by larger predator states, behind the scenes.  The US knows of these relationships between terror groups and predator states such as Russia and China, and looks the other way.  The US also has its own continuing links with terror groups.  It funded and created Osama bin Laden and al Qaeda.  Why?  Because terrorism is useful in fomenting conflict that can, in turn, be used to undermine our liberties.]

 

“To date we have arrested, or otherwise dealt with, many key commanders of al Qaeda. [These are pronouncements without any independent verification.  We know nothing about al Qaeda except what the US government tells us.] All told, more than 3,000 suspected terrorists have been arrested in many countries. And many others have met a different fate.  [All have disappeared into the black hole of military detention without charge, without rights and with virtually no recourse to justice.  Even prisoners of WWII had rights under the Geneva Convention.] They are no longer a problem for the United States and our friends and allies. [Perhaps not, but the destruction of justice that their indefinite detention without rights represents challenges our very concept of rights and justice.]

 

“We are working closely with other nations to prevent further attacks. America and coalition countries have uncovered and stopped terrorist conspiracies targeting the American embassy in Yemen, the American embassy in Singapore, a Saudi military base, and ships in the Straits of Hormuz and the Straits of Gibraltar. We have broken al Qaeda cells in Hamburg, and Milan, and Madrid, and London, and Paris as well as Buffalo, New York. [There is no independent verification of any of this.  The US simply says it is so, and won’t release any intelligence giving proof.]

 

“We have the terrorists on the run, and we are keeping them on the run. One by one, the terrorists are learning the meaning of American justice. [Sadly, terrorists are not on the run, but are still free to grow and continue operations.  Terrorism in the US is a controlled entity used for political purposes — otherwise, why haven’t we seen the multiple small car bombings or infrastructure attacks typical of true terrorism in the US since 9/11?  In nations with much more effective security threatened by real terrorist entities, such non-high-profile attacks are nearly daily occurrences.]

 

“This government is taking unprecedented measures to protect our people and defend our homeland. [Unprecedented, yes — but not to protect!  The core elements of the USA PATRIOT Act and Homeland Security were meant only to increase government surveillance powers and control of the US domestic opposition.] We have intensified security at the borders [A ludicrous claim on its face!  The Mexican border continues to be an open sieve for people, terrorists, and drugs.  Anyone can walk across in rural sections of the border.  Bush refuses to build even a simple fence, and refuses to modify the deliberate assignment of patrols to areas of low infiltration.] and ports of entry, posted more than 50,000 newly trained federal screeners in airports [who do little but harass honest travelers about nail files on toenail clippers],  begun inoculating troops [without their consent, and with severe threats of court martial should they object] and first responders against smallpox [many nurses are refusing the shots], and are deploying the Nation’s first early warning network of sensors to detect biological attack.  And this year, for the first time, we are beginning to field a defense to protect this Nation against ballistic missiles.  [It does no such thing.  It is a fraudulently complex and weakened system without a warhead, giving it a low probability of a kill.  It is purposely designed to be unable to deter a Russian nuclear missile strike — as has been stated openly to Russia by Clinton and Bush.]

 

“I ask you tonight to add to our future security with a major research and production effort to guard our people against bio-terrorism, called Project Bioshield. [This must be another pro-vaccine funding boondoggle that will generate billions for insider vaccine companies (already granted blanket immunity for their questionable work).  Different strains of bio-toxins are manufactured constantly.  There is no way any of the vaccines on the market today are going to be effective against the full range of changing toxins.]

 

“I am instructing the leaders of the FBI, Central Intelligence, Homeland Security, and the Department of Defense to develop a Terrorist Threat Integration Center, to merge and analyze all threat information in a single location. [He forgot to mention one of the main components of this new organ: DARPA’s  Information Awareness Office (IAO), the new and dangerous domestic surveillance arm of government.]

 

“In the ruins of two towers, at the western wall of the Pentagon, on a field in Pennsylvania, this Nation made a pledge, and we renew that pledge tonight: Whatever the duration of this struggle, and whatever the difficulties, we will not permit the triumph of violence in the affairs of men – free people will set the course of history. [This is simply more bravado coupled with an applause generator.  They are hollow words of doubtful integrity in light of what we know about US government foreknowledge of and failure to respond during 9/11.]

 

“Today, the gravest danger in the war on terror, the gravest danger facing America and the world, is outlaw regimes that seek and possess nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons. [This is the “rogue” threat ploy Bush is using, denying the reality of the larger systematic mortal threats posed by Russia and China.] These regimes could use such weapons for blackmail, terror, and mass murder. They could also give or sell those weapons to their terrorist allies, who would use them without the least hesitation.  [Technicians from both Russia and China are working in Iran, Iraq, North Korea, Pakistan, India, and in every Arab state surrounding Israel.]  This threat is new [Untrue.  The US has always known about the duplicity of these Communist countries but has failed to act or to warn its people]; America’s duty is familiar [follow the leaders who tell them Russia is no threat, while little Iraq is the boogie man].

 

“Throughout the 20th century, small groups of men seized control of great nations [through the deliberate assistance of major US financiers connected to the CFR or its predecessors], built armies and arsenals [using moneys from Wall Street], and set out to dominate the weak and intimidate the world [but only with globalist leaders acting in a permissive role].  In each case, their ambitions of cruelty and murder had no limit. [In the case of Hitler, civilian targets such as London were strictly forbidden as bombing targets until Germany was provoked by Churchill’s repeated fire-bombing of German civilians in August of 1940.] In each case, the ambitions of Hitlerism, militarism, and communism were defeated by the will of free peoples, by the strength of great alliances, and by the might of the United States of America. [In reality WWII was prolonged two years longer than necessary at a cost of millions of deaths because Churchill and Roosevelt made secret deals with Stalin to turn over half of Europe to Communism.  Churchill refused numerous proposals by portions of the German High Command to surrender or kill Hitler.]

 

“Now, in this century, the ideology of power and domination has appeared again [furthering the lie that Communism has been defeated, and that our only threat is rogue dictators], and seeks to gain the ultimate weapons of terror.